Mexican election and the drug war

by H. Thomas Hayden on July 9, 2012

According to an article in Foreign Affairs, “What Mexico’s election means in the drug war,” 28 Jun 2012, by Pamela K. Starr: “U.S.-Mexico security cooperation has been strikingly close and effective during the tenure of Mexican President Felipe Calderón. A country that had traditionally seen the United States as the principal threat to its national security has come to accept its northern neighbor as a partner in the battle against organized crime. Mexican intelligence agencies and naval units now collaborate closely with U.S. security personnel despite the historic reluctance of Mexico’s highly nationalistic military establishment to do so.“

She went on to say that the United States now willingly shares sensitive intelligence with Mexican officials, playing a critical role in improving the effectiveness of Mexican counternarcotics operations. Just a generation ago, this would have been unthinkable.

Yet this could change after the Mexican president elect, Enrique Peña Nieto, of the Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, has promised to redefine Mexican security priorities, focusing more on fighting organized crime than on cutting off the flow of drugs to the United States, the transition to a new administration will likely damage trust between the two countries, which will in turn threaten to weaken security cooperation. Policymakers on both sides of the border must prepare for this.

Time will tell.

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